With a month of the 2024 faculty soccer season accomplished, some groups have already had their championship aspirations dashed whereas others acquire weekly causes for optimism. Right here’s to your private season, paralleling the motion on the sector extra carefully with the latter groups.
Whether or not you’re trying to hold the wins piling up into October or aiming to show issues round because the convention season will get underway, take into account the next performs from the Week 6 slate.
Clemson -14.5 at Florida State
Since shedding a one-sided Week 1 matchup with Georgia, Clemson has rolled over Appalachian State, NC State, and Stanford by 46, 24, and 26 factors. The Tigers’ offense averaged 53 factors in these three wins, because of operating again Phil Mafah breaking off enormous dashing beneficial properties and quarterback Cole Klubnik placing collectively maybe one of the best three-game stretch of his profession.
The Florida State protection is statistically one of the best Clemson can have confronted since Georgia and arguably essentially the most gifted. By way of the primary 4 video games, the Seminoles held opponents to a decent 21.8 factors per recreation, not permitting greater than 28 in any single contest till visiting SMU final week.
However extra on the blowout loss in opposition to the Mustangs in a second.
First, protection hasn’t been the key legal responsibility evident within the Seminoles’ disappointing begin to the 2024 marketing campaign; Florida State’s incapability to attain has been its Achilles’ heel. The Seminoles common simply 15.2 factors per recreation, the third-lowest amongst power-conference groups. Solely UCLA and Houston have been extra anemic. The protection gave Florida State an opportunity to win in opposition to Georgia Tech and Memphis and was behind the Seminoles’ lone victory in a 14-9 defeat of Cal.
For a half at SMU, Florida State’s protection stored the Seminoles in hanging distance. However an interception to open the second half and a fast punt on the following Florida State possession turned a 14-9 recreation into 28-9 in a rush.
SMU was essentially the most well-rounded offense Florida State had confronted — till this week. Brock Glenn, who’s beginning rather than an injured D.J. Uiagalelei, might want to end drives the place Uiagalelei couldn’t. In any other case, Clemson is poised to equally overwhelm Florida State as the sport progresses.
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Florida ML +114 vs. UCF (DraftKings)
Florida went into its Week 5 bye on a constructive be aware, with its highest-scoring efficiency in opposition to an SEC opponent throughout Billy Napier’s tenure as head coach. Whereas the Gators’ 45-28 win came to visit a Mississippi State staff struggling mightily in 2024, there’s momentum to hold into UCF’s go to on Saturday — partly as a result of the Knights have had their very own struggles.
UCF efficiently dug out of a gap at TCU in Week 4 to flee with a 35-34 win, however the defensive deficiencies that allowed 6.6 yards per play to the Horned Frogs value the Knights final week in opposition to Colorado.
UCF gave up 6.5 yards per play in a 48-21 loss to Colorado and compelled simply seven incompletions on 35 move makes an attempt. Florida has discovered some effectiveness since a rocky begin to quarterback Graham Mertz’s season in opposition to Miami with a methodical passing technique.
Mertz has accomplished 31 of his final 36 move makes an attempt and thrown 4 touchdowns in opposition to only one interception. With the UCF move protection exhibiting vulnerability in latest weeks, Mertz simply wants to stay constant with out essentially in search of deep pictures to maintain the Gators’ offense rolling.
As a house underdog contemporary from a bye and with a good matchup, Florida appears like a promising straight-up winner in Week 6.
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Ashton Jeanty +260 to Rating 4+ TDs (FanDuel)
Put a fast-rising Heisman Trophy contender and the nation’s far-and-away main rusher in opposition to a protection permitting virtually 200 yards per recreation on the bottom, and there’s potential for fireworks.
Utah State heads to Boise State, permitting 196.8 yards per contest and greater than 5 yards per carry — and that’s earlier than the Aggies face Ashton Jeanty. The Broncos’ again will get yards on this Mountain West Convention showdown; he’s reached a minimum of 192 in 3 of 4 video games.
The query is whether or not Boise State will want him sufficient to get into the top zone 4 instances. He’s hit that milestone twice, however in these wins over Georgia Southern and Washington State, the sport was aggressive lengthy sufficient to name for it.
Boise State shouldn’t have a lot hassle placing Utah State away early, so we should always know if Jeanty can rack up 4 touchdowns for a 3rd time this season not lengthy into the third quarter. At +260, if Jeanty can do it, it’s price a glance.
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